Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sp Braga wins |
48%
±11%
|
1.71 | -18.5% |
| Draw |
26%
±2%
|
3.60 | -5.2% |
| Guimaraes wins |
26%
±9%
|
4.70 | +23.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Sp Braga
Guimaraes
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Sp Braga
Guimaraes
Shots
12.2
10.8
Shots On Target
4.5
3.4
Corners
4.9
4.0
Fouls
14.6
14.0
Yellow Cards
2.5
3.9
Red Cards
0.3
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Sp Braga Wins
3Draws
4Guimaraes Wins
3| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2026 | Sp Braga Win | 3:2 | Primeira Liga |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Draw | 1:1 | Primeira Liga |
| 16 Feb 2025 | Draw | 0:0 | Primeira Liga |
| 15 Sep 2024 | Guimaraes Win | 0:2 | Primeira Liga |
| 11 May 2024 | Sp Braga Win | 2:3 | Primeira Liga |
Sp Braga - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug 2026 | Gil Vicente | - | - |
| 9 Aug 2026 | Moreirense | - | - |
| 16 May 2026 | Estrela | 2:2 | D |
| 11 May 2026 | Benfica | 2:2 | D |
| 3 May 2026 | Estoril | 1:1 | D |
Guimaraes - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2026 | Nacional | - | - |
| 8 Aug 2026 | Arouca | - | - |
| 16 May 2026 | Nacional | 2:0 | L |
| 11 May 2026 | Casa Pia | 0:1 | L |
| 4 May 2026 | Sp Lisbon | 5:1 | L |