Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Newcastle wins |
43%
±9%
|
2.84 | +22.9% |
| Leeds wins |
30%
±9%
|
2.39 | -27.8% |
| Draw |
27%
±1%
|
3.50 | -7.1% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Leeds
Newcastle
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Leeds
Newcastle
Shots
13.8
15.5
Shots On Target
4.6
4.9
Corners
4.6
6.5
Fouls
12.5
11.8
Yellow Cards
2.9
1.9
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Leeds Wins
2Draws
4Newcastle Wins
2| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Jan 2026 | Newcastle Win | 4:3 | English Premier League |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Draw | 0:0 | English Premier League |
| 13 May 2023 | Draw | 2:2 | English Premier League |
| 31 Dec 2022 | Draw | 0:0 | English Premier League |
| 22 Jan 2022 | Newcastle Win | 0:1 | English Premier League |
Leeds - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | Brighton | - | - |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Brentford | - | - |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Nott'm Forest | - | - |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Nottingham Forest | - | - |
| 24 May 2026 | West Ham | 3:0 | L |
Newcastle - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | Bournemouth | - | - |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Tottenham | - | - |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Liverpool | - | - |
| 24 May 2026 | Fulham | 2:0 | L |
| 17 May 2026 | West Ham | 3:1 | W |