Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sp Braga wins Top Bet |
39%
±10%
|
1.74 | -31.8% |
| Alverca wins |
33%
±10%
|
4.63 | +53.9% |
| Draw |
27%
±1%
|
3.53 | -3.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Alverca
Sp Braga
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Alverca
Sp Braga
Shots
7.5
14.5
Shots On Target
1.5
6.5
Corners
0.5
6.0
Fouls
13.0
7.5
Yellow Cards
2.0
1.5
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Alverca Wins
0Draws
0Sp Braga Wins
2| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2026 | Sp Braga Win | 5:0 | Primeira Liga |
| 17 Aug 2025 | Sp Braga Win | 0:3 | Primeira Liga |
Alverca - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2026 | Santa Clara | - | - |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Sp Lisbon | - | - |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Estrela | - | - |
| 9 Aug 2026 | Porto | - | - |
| 16 May 2026 | Famalicao | 1:0 | L |
Sp Braga - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug 2026 | Guimaraes | - | - |
| 16 Aug 2026 | Gil Vicente | - | - |
| 9 Aug 2026 | Moreirense | - | - |
| 16 May 2026 | Estrela | 2:2 | D |
| 11 May 2026 | Benfica | 2:2 | D |