Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lille wins |
46%
±11%
|
2.04 | -5.6% |
| Toulouse wins |
29%
±10%
|
3.66 | +4.5% |
| Draw |
25%
±2%
|
3.38 | -14.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Toulouse
Lille
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Toulouse
Lille
Shots
10.0
14.5
Shots On Target
2.9
5.4
Corners
5.2
6.2
Fouls
14.1
11.6
Yellow Cards
2.2
1.4
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Toulouse Wins
1Draws
1Lille Wins
7| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr 2026 | Lille Win | 0:4 | Ligue 1 |
| 14 Sep 2025 | Lille Win | 2:1 | Ligue 1 |
| 12 Apr 2025 | Lille Win | 1:2 | Ligue 1 |
| 5 Oct 2024 | Lille Win | 2:1 | Ligue 1 |
| 25 Feb 2024 | Toulouse Win | 3:1 | Ligue 1 |
Toulouse - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2026 | Brest | - | - |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Lyon | - | - |
| 17 May 2026 | Nantes | 0:0 | D |
| 10 May 2026 | Lyon | 2:1 | W |
| 3 May 2026 | Strasbourg | 1:2 | W |
Lille - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2026 | Angers | - | - |
| 17 May 2026 | Auxerre | 0:2 | L |
| 10 May 2026 | Monaco | 0:1 | W |
| 3 May 2026 | Le Havre | 1:1 | D |
| 26 Apr 2026 | Paris FC | 0:1 | W |