Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cardiff wins |
75%
±7%
|
2.14 | +59.7% |
| Draw |
17%
±4%
|
3.62 | -37.3% |
| Stoke wins |
8%
±4%
|
3.05 | -75.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Cardiff
Stoke
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Cardiff
Stoke
Shots
11.0
9.6
Shots On Target
3.9
3.5
Corners
5.1
4.5
Fouls
9.8
11.2
Yellow Cards
1.7
1.7
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Cardiff Wins
3Draws
6Stoke Wins
1| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr 2025 | Stoke Win | 0:1 | English Championship |
| 14 Dec 2024 | Draw | 2:2 | English Championship |
| 24 Feb 2024 | Cardiff Win | 2:1 | English Championship |
| 4 Nov 2023 | Draw | 0:0 | English Championship |
| 22 Apr 2023 | Draw | 1:1 | English Championship |
Cardiff - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | Portsmouth | - | - |
| 2 Sep 2026 | QPR | 2:1 | L |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Sheffield United | - | - |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Derby | - | - |
| 17 Aug 2026 | Wrexham | - | - |
Stoke - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | Charlton | - | - |
| 1 Sep 2026 | Norwich | 1:0 | W |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Wolves | - | - |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Wolverhampton | 4:1 | L |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Southampton | - | - |