Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dumbarton wins Top Bet |
36%
±12%
|
3.65 | +31.4% |
| Draw |
28%
±1%
|
3.60 | +2.4% |
| Elgin wins |
36%
±11%
|
1.80 | -36.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Dumbarton
Elgin
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Dumbarton
Elgin
Shots
8.2
10.5
Shots On Target
2.9
4.6
Corners
5.2
4.3
Fouls
12.5
10.2
Yellow Cards
1.4
1.6
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Dumbarton Wins
2Draws
4Elgin Wins
4| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar 2026 | Draw | 1:1 | Scottish League Two |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Draw | 2:2 | Scottish League Two |
| 15 Nov 2025 | Elgin Win | 2:0 | Scottish League Two |
| 16 Aug 2025 | Draw | 1:1 | Scottish League Two |
| 27 Apr 2024 | Draw | 2:2 | Scottish League Two |
Dumbarton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2026 | Annan Athletic | - | - |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Kelty Hearts | - | - |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Edinburgh City | - | - |
| 8 Aug 2026 | Clyde | - | - |
| 2 May 2026 | Edinburgh City | 5:0 | L |
Elgin - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug 2026 | Stirling | - | - |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Spartans | - | - |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Kelty Hearts | - | - |
| 8 Aug 2026 | Forfar | - | - |
| 2 May 2026 | Stranraer | 0:1 | L |