Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins |
63%
±10%
|
1.70 | +6.5% |
| Draw |
20%
±3%
|
3.84 | -23.5% |
| Chelsea wins |
18%
±7%
|
4.84 | -15.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Arsenal
Chelsea
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Arsenal
Chelsea
Shots
13.5
10.8
Shots On Target
4.8
3.0
Corners
5.0
4.5
Fouls
11.1
11.0
Yellow Cards
2.3
2.6
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Arsenal Wins
6Draws
3Chelsea Wins
1| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Mar 2026 | Arsenal Win | 2:1 | English Premier League |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Draw | 1:1 | English Premier League |
| 16 Mar 2025 | Arsenal Win | 1:0 | English Premier League |
| 10 Nov 2024 | Draw | 1:1 | English Premier League |
| 23 Apr 2024 | Arsenal Win | 5:0 | English Premier League |
Arsenal - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug 2026 | Aston Villa | - | - |
| 21 Aug 2026 | Coventry | - | - |
| 24 May 2026 | Crystal Palace | 1:2 | W |
| 18 May 2026 | Burnley | 1:0 | W |
| 10 May 2026 | West Ham | 0:1 | W |
Chelsea - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2026 | Brighton | - | - |
| 24 Aug 2026 | Fulham | - | - |
| 24 May 2026 | Sunderland | 2:1 | L |
| 19 May 2026 | Tottenham | 2:1 | W |
| 9 May 2026 | Liverpool | 1:1 | D |