Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Guimaraes wins |
49%
±11%
|
1.49 | -27.4% |
| Draw |
27%
±3%
|
4.00 | +6.0% |
| Casa Pia wins |
25%
±9%
|
6.36 | +56.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Shots
16.0
9.1
Shots On Target
3.4
3.0
Corners
6.9
3.6
Fouls
11.2
16.4
Yellow Cards
1.9
2.5
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Guimaraes Wins
1Draws
4Casa Pia Wins
3| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May 2026 | Casa Pia Win | 0:1 | Primeira Liga |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Draw | 0:0 | Primeira Liga |
| 1 Mar 2025 | Guimaraes Win | 1:0 | Primeira Liga |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Draw | 1:1 | Primeira Liga |
| 24 Feb 2024 | Casa Pia Win | 0:2 | Primeira Liga |
Guimaraes - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug 2026 | Sp Braga | - | - |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Nacional | - | - |
| 8 Aug 2026 | Arouca | - | - |
| 16 May 2026 | Nacional | 2:0 | L |
| 11 May 2026 | Casa Pia | 0:1 | L |
Casa Pia - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2026 | Moreirense | - | - |
| 24 Aug 2026 | Gil Vicente | - | - |
| 17 Aug 2026 | Benfica | - | - |
| 8 Aug 2026 | Maritimo | - | - |
| 16 May 2026 | Rio Ave | 1:1 | D |