Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille wins |
64%
±11%
|
1.77 | +12.5% |
| Draw |
21%
±4%
|
3.90 | -19.8% |
| Paris FC wins |
16%
±8%
|
4.17 | -33.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Marseille
Paris FC
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Marseille
Paris FC
Shots
15.0
8.5
Shots On Target
5.5
4.0
Corners
4.5
3.0
Fouls
12.0
12.0
Yellow Cards
2.5
0.5
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Marseille Wins
1Draws
1Paris FC Wins
0| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | Draw | 2:2 | Ligue 1 |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Marseille Win | 5:2 | Ligue 1 |
Marseille - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2026 | Monaco | - | - |
| 21 Aug 2026 | Strasbourg | - | - |
| 17 May 2026 | Rennes | 3:1 | W |
| 10 May 2026 | Le Havre | 0:1 | W |
| 2 May 2026 | Nantes | 3:0 | L |
Paris FC - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Aug 2026 | Nice | - | - |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Troyes | - | - |
| 17 May 2026 | Paris SG | 2:1 | W |
| 10 May 2026 | Rennes | 2:1 | L |
| 3 May 2026 | Brest | 4:0 | W |