Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Watford wins Top Bet |
48%
±12%
|
2.35 | +12.0% |
| Draw |
28%
±3%
|
3.32 | -7.8% |
| Stoke wins |
25%
±9%
|
2.88 | -29.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Watford
Stoke
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Watford
Stoke
Shots
12.8
11.7
Shots On Target
4.9
3.9
Corners
4.8
5.1
Fouls
11.9
13.1
Yellow Cards
2.3
2.2
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Watford Wins
6Draws
2Stoke Wins
2| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar 2026 | Stoke Win | 3:1 | English Championship |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Watford Win | 1:0 | English Championship |
| 1 Mar 2025 | Draw | 0:0 | English Championship |
| 17 Aug 2024 | Watford Win | 3:0 | English Championship |
| 29 Dec 2023 | Draw | 1:1 | English Championship |
Watford - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Sep 2026 | Preston | 2:1 | W |
| 5 Sep 2026 | West Brom | - | - |
| 1 Sep 2026 | Swansea | 2:0 | L |
| 29 Aug 2026 | West Ham | - | - |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Wrexham | - | - |
Stoke - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Sep 2026 | Cardiff | 1:1 | D |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Charlton | - | - |
| 1 Sep 2026 | Norwich | 1:0 | W |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Wolves | - | - |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Wolverhampton | 4:1 | L |