Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins |
38%
±10%
|
2.38 | -8.8% |
| Brentford wins |
36%
±10%
|
2.68 | -2.2% |
| Draw |
25%
±1%
|
3.63 | -8.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Brentford
Chelsea
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Brentford
Chelsea
Shots
11.0
15.8
Shots On Target
4.4
4.7
Corners
4.3
6.3
Fouls
9.9
9.1
Yellow Cards
1.8
1.2
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Brentford Wins
3Draws
4Chelsea Wins
3| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | Chelsea Win | 2:0 | English Premier League |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Draw | 2:2 | English Premier League |
| 6 Apr 2025 | Draw | 0:0 | English Premier League |
| 15 Dec 2024 | Chelsea Win | 2:1 | English Premier League |
| 2 Mar 2024 | Draw | 2:2 | English Premier League |
Brentford - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep 2026 | Bournemouth | - | - |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Sunderland | - | - |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Leeds | - | - |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Tottenham | - | - |
| 24 May 2026 | Liverpool | 1:1 | D |
Chelsea - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep 2026 | Hull | - | - |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Arsenal | - | - |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Brighton | - | - |
| 24 Aug 2026 | Fulham | - | - |
| 24 May 2026 | Sunderland | 2:1 | L |