Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Porto wins Top Bet |
65%
±10%
|
1.25 | -18.8% |
| Casa Pia wins |
13%
±7%
|
10.72 | +44.6% |
| Draw |
22%
±3%
|
5.25 | +13.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Casa Pia
Porto
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Casa Pia
Porto
Shots
7.3
18.3
Shots On Target
2.1
7.1
Corners
3.6
7.4
Fouls
11.9
12.0
Yellow Cards
2.0
1.9
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Casa Pia Wins
1Draws
1Porto Wins
6| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Feb 2026 | Casa Pia Win | 2:1 | Primeira Liga |
| 24 Aug 2025 | Porto Win | 4:0 | Primeira Liga |
| 12 Apr 2025 | Porto Win | 0:1 | Primeira Liga |
| 2 Dec 2024 | Porto Win | 2:0 | Primeira Liga |
| 21 Apr 2024 | Porto Win | 1:2 | Primeira Liga |
Casa Pia - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Sep 2026 | Guimaraes | - | - |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Moreirense | - | - |
| 24 Aug 2026 | Gil Vicente | - | - |
| 17 Aug 2026 | Benfica | - | - |
| 8 Aug 2026 | Maritimo | - | - |
Porto - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Sep 2026 | Moreirense | 2:1 | W |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Academico Viseu | - | - |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Académico de Viseu | 0:3 | W |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Arouca | - | - |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Rio Ave | - | - |