Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wolfsburg wins |
44%
±11%
|
2.42 | +7.2% |
| St Pauli wins |
28%
±10%
|
2.59 | -28.7% |
| Draw |
28%
±1%
|
3.70 | +4.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
St Pauli
Wolfsburg
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
St Pauli
Wolfsburg
Shots
12.0
14.5
Shots On Target
3.8
5.8
Corners
6.2
7.0
Fouls
9.2
10.5
Yellow Cards
1.0
2.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
St Pauli Wins
0Draws
2Wolfsburg Wins
2| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May 2026 | Wolfsburg Win | 1:3 | 2. Bundesliga |
| 14 Jan 2026 | Wolfsburg Win | 2:1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| 8 Mar 2025 | Draw | 1:1 | 2. Bundesliga |
| 26 Oct 2024 | Draw | 0:0 | 2. Bundesliga |
St Pauli - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg | - | - |
| 4 Sep 2026 | Bielefeld | 2:2 | D |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Kaiserslautern | - | - |
| 30 Aug 2026 | 1. FC Kaiserslautern | 1:2 | L |
| 9 Aug 2026 | Greuther Furth | - | - |
Wolfsburg - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | Cottbus | - | - |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Karlsruhe | - | - |
| 16 Aug 2026 | Hannover | - | - |
| 8 Aug 2026 | Kaiserslautern | - | - |
| 16 May 2026 | St Pauli | 1:3 | W |