Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Palermo wins |
67%
±8%
|
1.57 | +4.5% |
| Draw |
23%
±4%
|
3.90 | -12.1% |
| Padova wins |
11%
±4%
|
5.38 | -42.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Palermo
Padova
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Palermo
Padova
Shots
11.0
12.5
Shots On Target
2.0
4.0
Corners
3.5
8.5
Fouls
12.0
10.5
Yellow Cards
1.5
2.5
Red Cards
0.5
0.5
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Palermo Wins
2Draws
0Padova Wins
0| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar 2026 | Palermo Win | 0:1 | Serie B |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Palermo Win | 1:0 | Serie B |
Palermo - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2026 | Avellino | - | - |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Avellino | - | - |
| 7 Sep 2026 | Sampdoria | - | - |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Arezzo | - | - |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Juve Stabia | - | - |
Padova - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep 2026 | Ascoli | - | - |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Cremonese | - | - |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Verona | - | - |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Pisa | - | - |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Pisa | - | - |