Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derby wins |
41%
±12%
|
4.27 | +75.5% |
| Burnley wins |
31%
±11%
|
1.78 | -45.4% |
| Draw |
28%
±1%
|
3.68 | +3.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Burnley
Derby
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Burnley
Derby
Shots
11.0
7.5
Shots On Target
3.0
1.0
Corners
5.0
5.0
Fouls
8.0
14.5
Yellow Cards
0.5
1.5
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Burnley Wins
0Draws
2Derby Wins
0| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Apr 2025 | Draw | 0:0 | English Championship |
| 10 Dec 2024 | Draw | 0:0 | English Championship |
Burnley - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep 2026 | Swansea | - | - |
| 8 Sep 2026 | Wrexham | 1:1 | D |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Bristol City | - | - |
| 2 Sep 2026 | Middlesbrough | 1:1 | D |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Norwich | - | - |
Derby - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep 2026 | Birmingham | - | - |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Birmingham City | - | - |
| 9 Sep 2026 | West Brom | 0:1 | L |
| 5 Sep 2026 | West Ham | - | - |
| 1 Sep 2026 | Portsmouth | 0:2 | W |