Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins |
45%
±11%
|
1.76 | -20.4% |
| Brighton wins |
31%
±11%
|
4.26 | +31.7% |
| Draw |
24%
±1%
|
3.75 | -10.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Brighton
Arsenal
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Brighton
Arsenal
Shots
11.8
15.3
Shots On Target
3.3
4.9
Corners
4.3
6.0
Fouls
12.5
11.0
Yellow Cards
2.6
2.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Brighton Wins
2Draws
3Arsenal Wins
5| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Mar 2026 | Arsenal Win | 0:1 | English Premier League |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Arsenal Win | 2:1 | English Premier League |
| 4 Jan 2025 | Draw | 1:1 | English Premier League |
| 31 Aug 2024 | Draw | 1:1 | English Premier League |
| 6 Apr 2024 | Arsenal Win | 0:3 | English Premier League |
Brighton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2026 | Coventry | - | - |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Leeds | - | - |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Chelsea | - | - |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Aston Villa | - | - |
| 24 May 2026 | Man United | 0:3 | L |
Arsenal - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep 2026 | Sunderland | - | - |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Chelsea | - | - |
| 31 Aug 2026 | Aston Villa | - | - |
| 21 Aug 2026 | Coventry | - | - |
| 24 May 2026 | Crystal Palace | 1:2 | W |