Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swindon wins |
37%
±11%
|
2.79 | +4.3% |
| Rochdale wins |
33%
±11%
|
2.35 | -22.3% |
| Draw |
30%
±1%
|
3.41 | +0.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Rochdale
Swindon
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Rochdale
Swindon
Shots
10.5
15.8
Shots On Target
4.7
6.8
Corners
3.7
5.5
Fouls
11.2
10.0
Yellow Cards
1.5
1.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Rochdale Wins
1Draws
3Swindon Wins
2| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar 2023 | Draw | 4:4 | English League Two |
| 20 Aug 2022 | Swindon Win | 3:0 | English League Two |
| 2 Apr 2022 | Draw | 0:0 | English League Two |
| 16 Oct 2021 | Draw | 2:2 | English League Two |
| 13 Apr 2021 | Rochdale Win | 2:1 | English League Two |
Rochdale - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep 2026 | Fleetwood Town | - | - |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Oldham | - | - |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Walsall | - | - |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Gillingham | - | - |
| 1 Sep 2026 | Shrewsbury Town | 3:0 | W |
Swindon - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep 2026 | Accrington | - | - |
| 19 Sep 2026 | Salford | - | - |
| 12 Sep 2026 | York | - | - |
| 12 Sep 2026 | York City | - | - |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Colchester | - | - |