Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins |
66.39%
±12.32%
|
1.40 | -7.0% |
| Draw |
22.57%
±5.69%
|
4.86 | +9.7% |
| Leeds wins |
11.04%
±6.75%
|
7.81 | -13.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Arsenal
Leeds
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Arsenal
Leeds
Shots
14.5
9.4
Shots On Target
6.4
3.0
Corners
5.0
3.5
Fouls
9.1
12.0
Yellow Cards
0.8
1.9
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Arsenal Wins
7Draws
1Leeds Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | Arsenal Win | 0:4 |
| 23 Aug 2025 | Arsenal Win | 5:0 |
| 1 Apr 2023 | Arsenal Win | 4:1 |
| 16 Oct 2022 | Arsenal Win | 0:1 |
| 8 May 2022 | Arsenal Win | 2:1 |
Arsenal - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Brighton | - | - |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Sunderland | - | - |
| 6 Sep 2026 | Chelsea | - | - |
| 31 Aug 2026 | Aston Villa | - | - |
| 21 Aug 2026 | Coventry | - | - |
Leeds - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Crystal Palace | - | - |
| 14 Sep 2026 | Newcastle | - | - |
| 5 Sep 2026 | Brighton | - | - |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Brentford | - | - |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Nott'm Forest | - | - |