Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monaco wins |
53.26%
±14.27%
|
1.59 | -15.5% |
| Draw |
26.45%
±4.29%
|
4.34 | +14.8% |
| Toulouse wins |
20.29%
±10.21%
|
5.21 | +5.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Monaco
Toulouse
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Monaco
Toulouse
Shots
16.4
13.9
Shots On Target
5.5
4.8
Corners
3.8
4.9
Fouls
13.2
14.5
Yellow Cards
2.0
2.1
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Monaco Wins
4Draws
2Toulouse Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr 2026 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Monaco Win | 1:0 |
| 7 Mar 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 7 Dec 2024 | Monaco Win | 2:0 |
| 18 Feb 2024 | Toulouse Win | 1:2 |
Monaco - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep 2026 | Lens | - | - |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Strasbourg | - | - |
| 4 Sep 2026 | Paris SG | 1:2 | W |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Marseille | - | - |
| 23 Aug 2026 | Le Havre | - | - |
Toulouse - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Le Havre | - | - |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Lorient | - | - |
| 3 Sep 2026 | Lille | - | - |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Brest | - | - |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Lyon | - | - |