Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| St Pauli wins |
57.55%
±14.43%
|
1.69 | -2.7% |
| Draw |
23.56%
±4.43%
|
4.15 | -2.1% |
| Karlsruhe wins |
18.89%
±10.19%
|
4.10 | -22.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
St Pauli
Karlsruhe
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
St Pauli
Karlsruhe
Shots
14.1
10.7
Shots On Target
5.2
3.7
Corners
5.1
4.4
Fouls
9.0
11.9
Yellow Cards
1.8
2.6
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
St Pauli Wins
3Draws
4Karlsruhe Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 6 Apr 2024 | Karlsruhe Win | 2:1 |
| 28 Oct 2023 | St Pauli Win | 2:1 |
| 28 May 2023 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 12 Nov 2022 | Draw | 4:4 |
| 5 Mar 2022 | St Pauli Win | 3:1 |
St Pauli - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2026 | Cottbus | - | - |
| 12 Sep 2026 | Wolfsburg | - | - |
| 12 Sep 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg | - | - |
| 4 Sep 2026 | Bielefeld | 2:2 | D |
| 30 Aug 2026 | Kaiserslautern | - | - |
Karlsruhe - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep 2026 | Nurnberg | - | - |
| 13 Sep 2026 | Cottbus | - | - |
| 4 Sep 2026 | Hannover 96 | 2:2 | D |
| 29 Aug 2026 | Wolfsburg | - | - |
| 29 Aug 2026 | VfL Wolfsburg | 2:5 | L |