Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| France wins |
86%
±12%
|
1.28 | +9.8% |
| Draw |
11%
±7%
|
5.98 | -36.5% |
| Sweden wins |
4%
±5%
|
10.27 | -61.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
France
Sweden
Head-to-Head History
France Wins
3Draws
1Sweden Wins
2| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Jun 2017 | Sweden Win | 2:1 | World Cup |
| 11 Nov 2016 | France Win | 2:1 | World Cup |
| 18 Nov 2014 | France Win | 1:0 | World Cup |
| 19 Jun 2012 | Sweden Win | 2:0 | World Cup |
| 20 Aug 2008 | France Win | 2:3 | World Cup |
France - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun 2026 | Norway | 1:4 | W |
| 22 Jun 2026 | Iraq | 3:0 | W |
| 16 Jun 2026 | Senegal | 3:1 | W |
| 29 Mar 2026 | Colombia | 1:3 | W |
| 26 Mar 2026 | Brazil | 1:2 | W |
Sweden - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jun 2026 | Japan | 1:1 | D |
| 20 Jun 2026 | Netherlands | 5:1 | L |
| 15 Jun 2026 | Tunisia | 5:1 | W |
| 10 Jun 2025 | Algeria | 4:3 | W |
| 25 Mar 2025 | Northern Ireland | 5:1 | W |