World Cup 30 Jun 2026 22:00 Match Finished

Mexico vs Ecuador

Final Result

2:0

Mexico to win

Rating Change

Mexico 0.0
Ecuador -0.1
Our Prediction Correct
61% Mexico to win

±26%

Outcome Probabilities

Outcome Probability Odds EV
Mexico wins
61% ±26%
2.29 +39.5%
Draw
21% ±7%
2.69 -42.6%
Ecuador wins
18% ±18%
3.90 -31.3%

Model Rating

AI model rating per team before kickoff

Mexico
Ecuador

Head-to-Head History

Mexico Wins

3

Draws

4

Ecuador Wins

3
Date Result Score Competition
15 Oct 2025 Draw 1:1 World Cup
1 Jul 2024 Draw 0:0 World Cup
6 Jun 2022 Draw 0:0 World Cup
28 Oct 2021 Ecuador Win 2:3 World Cup
10 Jun 2019 Mexico Win 3:2 World Cup

Mexico - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
25 Jun 2026 Czechia 0:3 W
19 Jun 2026 South Korea 1:0 W
11 Jun 2026 South Africa 2:0 W
1 Apr 2026 Belgium 1:1 D
29 Mar 2026 Portugal 0:0 D

Ecuador - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
25 Jun 2026 Germany 2:1 W
21 Jun 2026 Curaçao 0:0 D
14 Jun 2026 Ivory Coast 1:0 L
31 Mar 2026 Netherlands 1:1 D
27 Mar 2026 Morocco 1:1 D