Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| England wins |
45%
±27%
|
1.64 | -26.1% |
| Mexico wins |
30%
±26%
|
6.37 | +93.9% |
| Draw |
24%
±2%
|
3.27 | -19.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Mexico
England
Head-to-Head History
Mexico Wins
0Draws
0England Wins
1| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May 2010 | England Win | 3:1 | World Cup |
Mexico - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | Ecuador | 2:0 | W |
| 25 Jun 2026 | Czechia | 0:3 | W |
| 19 Jun 2026 | South Korea | 1:0 | W |
| 11 Jun 2026 | South Africa | 2:0 | W |
| 1 Apr 2026 | Belgium | 1:1 | D |
England - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Jul 2026 | DR Congo | 2:1 | W |
| 27 Jun 2026 | Panama | 0:2 | W |
| 23 Jun 2026 | Ghana | 0:0 | D |
| 17 Jun 2026 | Croatia | 4:2 | W |
| 31 Mar 2026 | Japan | 0:1 | L |