Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Italy wins |
40%
±28%
|
1.97 | -20.8% |
| Draw |
24%
±2%
|
3.39 | -17.3% |
| Belgium wins |
35%
±26%
|
3.28 | +16.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Italy
Belgium
Head-to-Head History
Italy Wins
3Draws
0Belgium Wins
1| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Jul 2021 | Italy Win | 1:2 | UEFA Nations League |
| 13 Jun 2016 | Italy Win | 0:2 | UEFA Nations League |
| 13 Nov 2015 | Belgium Win | 3:1 | UEFA Nations League |
| 30 May 2008 | Italy Win | 3:1 | UEFA Nations League |
Italy - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jun 2024 | Switzerland | 2:0 | L |
| 24 Jun 2024 | Croatia | 1:1 | D |
| 20 Jun 2024 | Spain | 1:0 | L |
| 15 Jun 2024 | Albania | 2:1 | W |
| 9 Jun 2024 | Bosnia & Herzegovina | 1:0 | W |
Belgium - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul 2026 | Spain | 2:1 | L |
| 7 Jul 2026 | USA | 1:4 | W |
| 1 Jul 2026 | Senegal | 3:2 | W |
| 27 Jun 2026 | New Zealand | 1:5 | W |
| 21 Jun 2026 | Iran | 0:0 | D |