Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sweden wins |
68%
±22%
|
1.47 | +0.2% |
| Draw |
19%
±8%
|
4.23 | -17.8% |
| Romania wins |
13%
±13%
|
5.28 | -34.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Sweden
Romania
Head-to-Head History
Sweden Wins
2Draws
0Romania Wins
1| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov 2019 | Sweden Win | 0:2 | UEFA Nations League |
| 23 Mar 2019 | Sweden Win | 2:1 | UEFA Nations League |
| 27 Mar 2018 | Romania Win | 1:0 | UEFA Nations League |
Sweden - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun 2026 | France | 3:0 | L |
| 25 Jun 2026 | Japan | 1:1 | D |
| 20 Jun 2026 | Netherlands | 5:1 | L |
| 15 Jun 2026 | Tunisia | 5:1 | W |
| 10 Jun 2025 | Algeria | 4:3 | W |
Romania - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 2026 | Slovakia | 2:0 | L |
| 9 Oct 2025 | Moldova | 2:1 | W |
| 5 Sep 2025 | Canada | 0:3 | L |
| 2 Jul 2024 | Netherlands | 0:3 | L |
| 26 Jun 2024 | Slovakia | 1:1 | D |