Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Italy wins Top Bet |
41%
±27%
|
2.03 | -17.2% |
| Turkey wins |
34%
±26%
|
2.50 | -15.0% |
| Draw |
25%
±1%
|
2.93 | -26.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Turkey
Italy
Head-to-Head History
Turkey Wins
0Draws
1Italy Wins
2| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jun 2024 | Draw | 0:0 | UEFA Nations League |
| 29 Mar 2022 | Italy Win | 2:3 | UEFA Nations League |
| 11 Jun 2021 | Italy Win | 0:3 | UEFA Nations League |
Turkey - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep 2026 | France | - | - |
| 26 Jun 2026 | USA | 3:2 | W |
| 20 Jun 2026 | Paraguay | 0:1 | L |
| 14 Jun 2026 | Australia | 2:0 | L |
| 11 Jun 2025 | Mexico | 1:0 | L |
Italy - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep 2026 | Belgium | - | - |
| 29 Jun 2024 | Switzerland | 2:0 | L |
| 24 Jun 2024 | Croatia | 1:1 | D |
| 20 Jun 2024 | Spain | 1:0 | L |
| 15 Jun 2024 | Albania | 2:1 | W |