Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Germany wins |
78%
±17%
|
1.21 | -5.4% |
| Draw |
14%
±8%
|
6.63 | -4.0% |
| Serbia wins |
7%
±9%
|
12.36 | -13.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Germany
Serbia
Head-to-Head History
Germany Wins
1Draws
1Serbia Wins
1| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar 2019 | Draw | 1:1 | UEFA Nations League |
| 18 Jun 2010 | Serbia Win | 0:1 | UEFA Nations League |
| 31 May 2008 | Germany Win | 2:1 | UEFA Nations League |
Germany - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2026 | Greece | - | - |
| 24 Sep 2026 | Netherlands | - | - |
| 29 Jun 2026 | Paraguay | 1:1 | D |
| 25 Jun 2026 | Ecuador | 2:1 | L |
| 20 Jun 2026 | Ivory Coast | 2:1 | W |
Serbia - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2026 | Netherlands | - | - |
| 24 Sep 2026 | Greece | - | - |
| 31 Mar 2026 | Saudi Arabia | 2:1 | W |
| 27 Mar 2026 | Spain | 3:0 | L |
| 25 Jun 2024 | Denmark | 0:0 | D |