Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Malta wins |
70%
±21%
|
1.27 | -11.3% |
| Draw |
20%
±10%
|
5.01 | +0.8% |
| Gibraltar wins |
10%
±12%
|
11.19 | +13.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Malta
Gibraltar
Head-to-Head History
Malta Wins
2Draws
0Gibraltar Wins
1| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Sep 2023 | Malta Win | 1:0 | UEFA Nations League |
| 7 Oct 2020 | Malta Win | 2:0 | UEFA Nations League |
| 4 Jun 2014 | Gibraltar Win | 1:0 | UEFA Nations League |
Malta - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep 2026 | Andorra | - | - |
| 12 Oct 2025 | Bosnia & Herzegovina | 1:4 | L |
| 9 Sep 2025 | San Marino | 3:1 | W |
| 14 Nov 2024 | Liechtenstein | 2:0 | W |
| 11 Jun 2024 | Greece | 2:0 | L |
Gibraltar - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Oct 2025 | New Caledonia | 0:2 | L |
| 4 Sep 2025 | Albania | 0:1 | L |
| 19 Nov 2024 | Moldova | 1:1 | D |
| 4 Sep 2024 | Andorra | 1:0 | W |
| 6 Jun 2024 | Wales | 0:0 | D |