Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Poland wins |
62%
±24%
|
1.53 | -4.8% |
| Draw |
22%
±8%
|
4.10 | -11.8% |
| Romania wins |
16%
±16%
|
5.64 | -8.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Poland
Romania
Head-to-Head History
Poland Wins
3Draws
0Romania Wins
1| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun 2017 | Poland Win | 3:1 | UEFA Nations League |
| 11 Nov 2016 | Poland Win | 0:3 | UEFA Nations League |
| 2 Feb 2013 | Poland Win | 4:1 | UEFA Nations League |
| 14 Nov 2009 | Romania Win | 0:1 | UEFA Nations League |
Poland - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep 2026 | Sweden | 3:1 | L |
| 25 Sep 2026 | Bosnia & Herzegovina | - | - |
| 9 Oct 2025 | New Zealand | 1:0 | W |
| 6 Jun 2025 | Moldova | 2:0 | W |
| 25 Jun 2024 | France | 1:1 | D |
Romania - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep 2026 | Bosnia & Herzegovina | 2:4 | L |
| 25 Sep 2026 | Sweden | - | - |
| 31 Mar 2026 | Slovakia | 2:0 | L |
| 9 Oct 2025 | Moldova | 2:1 | W |
| 5 Sep 2025 | Canada | 0:3 | L |