Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Croatia wins Top Bet |
16.09%
±16.9%
|
6.34 | +2.1% |
| Draw |
21.2%
±6.34%
|
4.49 | -4.8% |
| Spain wins |
62.7%
±23.22%
|
1.42 | -11.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Croatia
Spain
Head-to-Head History
Croatia Wins
1Draws
0Spain Wins
5| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep 2026 | Spain Win | 4:1 |
| 15 Jun 2024 | Spain Win | 3:0 |
| 28 Jun 2021 | Spain Win | 3:5 |
| 21 Jun 2016 | Croatia Win | 2:1 |
| 18 Jun 2012 | Spain Win | 0:1 |
Croatia - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Oct 2026 | England | - | - |
| 29 Sep 2026 | Spain | 4:1 | L |
| 26 Sep 2026 | Czechia | - | - |
| 2 Jul 2026 | Portugal | 2:1 | L |
| 27 Jun 2026 | Ghana | 2:1 | W |
Spain - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Oct 2026 | Czechia | - | - |
| 29 Sep 2026 | Croatia | 4:1 | W |
| 26 Sep 2026 | England | - | - |
| 19 Jul 2026 | Argentina | - | - |
| 14 Jul 2026 | France | 0:2 | W |