Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| France wins |
77%
±18%
|
1.46 | +12.4% |
| Draw |
15%
±8%
|
4.37 | -34.2% |
| Senegal wins |
8%
±10%
|
7.18 | -41.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
France
Senegal
France - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar 2026 | Colombia | 1:3 | W |
| 26 Mar 2026 | Brazil | 1:2 | W |
| 9 Jul 2024 | Spain | 2:1 | L |
| 5 Jul 2024 | Portugal | 0:1 | W |
| 1 Jul 2024 | Belgium | 1:0 | W |
Senegal - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar 2026 | Gambia | 3:1 | W |
| 28 Mar 2026 | Peru | 2:0 | W |
| 14 Jan 2026 | Egypt | 1:0 | W |
| 9 Jan 2026 | Mali | 0:1 | W |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Sudan | 3:1 | W |