Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ecuador wins |
89%
±9%
|
7.53 | +571.9% |
| Draw |
9%
±6%
|
1.09 | -90.5% |
| Curaçao wins |
2%
±3%
|
40.46 | -15.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Ecuador
Curaçao
Ecuador - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun 2026 | Ivory Coast | 1:0 | L |
| 31 Mar 2026 | Netherlands | 1:1 | D |
| 27 Mar 2026 | Morocco | 1:1 | D |
| 19 Nov 2025 | New Zealand | 2:0 | W |
| 14 Nov 2025 | Canada | 0:0 | D |
Curaçao - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jun 2026 | Germany | 7:1 | L |
| 25 Jun 2025 | Honduras | 2:1 | L |
| 22 Jun 2025 | Canada | 1:1 | D |
| 18 Jun 2025 | El Salvador | 0:0 | D |
| 19 Mar 2025 | Kazakhstan | 2:0 | L |