Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| France wins |
95%
±4%
|
1.08 | +2.1% |
| Draw |
5%
±3%
|
12.07 | -43.7% |
| Iraq wins |
1%
±1%
|
30.62 | -79.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
France
Iraq
France - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun 2026 | Senegal | 3:1 | W |
| 29 Mar 2026 | Colombia | 1:3 | W |
| 26 Mar 2026 | Brazil | 1:2 | W |
| 9 Jul 2024 | Spain | 2:1 | L |
| 5 Jul 2024 | Portugal | 0:1 | W |
Iraq - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jun 2026 | Norway | 1:4 | L |
| 29 Jan 2024 | Jordan | 2:3 | L |
| 24 Jan 2024 | Vietnam | 3:2 | W |
| 19 Jan 2024 | Japan | 2:1 | W |
| 15 Jan 2024 | Indonesia | 1:3 | W |