Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Japan wins |
69%
±22%
|
1.87 | +29.6% |
| Draw |
19%
±8%
|
3.50 | -34.9% |
| Sweden wins |
12%
±13%
|
4.38 | -46.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Japan
Sweden
Japan - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun 2026 | Tunisia | 0:4 | W |
| 14 Jun 2026 | Netherlands | 2:2 | D |
| 31 Mar 2026 | England | 0:1 | W |
| 28 Mar 2026 | Scotland | 0:1 | W |
| 18 Nov 2025 | Bolivia | 3:0 | W |
Sweden - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jun 2026 | Netherlands | 5:1 | L |
| 15 Jun 2026 | Tunisia | 5:1 | W |
| 10 Jun 2025 | Algeria | 4:3 | W |
| 25 Mar 2025 | Northern Ireland | 5:1 | W |
| 22 Mar 2025 | Luxembourg | 1:0 | L |