Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Senegal wins |
78%
±17%
|
1.22 | -4.4% |
| Draw |
15%
±8%
|
6.55 | -1.4% |
| Iraq wins |
7%
±8%
|
12.88 | -14.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Senegal
Iraq
Senegal - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun 2026 | Norway | 3:2 | L |
| 16 Jun 2026 | France | 3:1 | L |
| 31 Mar 2026 | Gambia | 3:1 | W |
| 28 Mar 2026 | Peru | 2:0 | W |
| 14 Jan 2026 | Egypt | 1:0 | W |
Iraq - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jun 2026 | France | 3:0 | L |
| 16 Jun 2026 | Norway | 1:4 | L |
| 29 Jan 2024 | Jordan | 2:3 | L |
| 24 Jan 2024 | Vietnam | 3:2 | W |
| 19 Jan 2024 | Japan | 2:1 | W |