Netherlands

Ajax

11.80 ±0.7
Rising

Model-driven team analysis based on ratings, recent form, and match history.

Recent rating change: +0.2

Model Rating & Ranking

Current strength and league standing according to our model

Rating

11.80

Uncertainty

±0.7

Avg Rating Change

+0.2

Last updated 17 May 2026 00:00

How strong is Ajax?

See where the team ranks in our model-based strength table.

# Team Rating Error
1 PSV Eindhoven 14.31 ±0.7
2 Twente 12.57 ±0.7
3 Feyenoord 12.22 ±0.7
4 Ajax 11.80 ±0.7
5 Nijmegen 11.21 ±0.7
6 AZ Alkmaar 11.13 ±0.7
7 Utrecht 9.24 ±0.7
8 Groningen 8.80 ±0.7
9 Heerenveen 8.61 ±0.7
10 Sparta Rotterdam 7.41 ±0.7
11 Go Ahead Eagles 7.37 ±0.7
12 Telstar 6.79 ±0.7
13 NAC Breda 6.65 ±0.7
14 Excelsior 6.35 ±0.7
15 Zwolle 5.76 ±0.7
16 Almere City 5.35 ±0.7
17 For Sittard 5.15 ±0.7
18 Volendam 4.19 ±0.7
19 Waalwijk 4.19 ±0.7
20 Willem II 3.84 ±0.7
21 Vitesse 3.62 ±0.7
22 Heracles 3.38 ±0.7
23 FC Emmen 3.01 ±0.7
24 Cambuur 0.65 ±0.7
25 VVV Venlo -1.87 ±0.7
26 Den Haag -2.75 ±0.7

Rating History

Rating trend over the season with uncertainty band

Shaded area represents rating uncertainty (±0.7).

Season Statistics

Average per-game stats from prior matches this season

Stat Team Opponents
Shots 13.3 13.3
Shots On Target 4.9 4.1
Corners 4.2 6.7
Fouls 9.2 10.4
Yellow Cards 1.8 1.5
Red Cards 0.1 0.0

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.

Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
17 May Heerenveen 0:0 D
10 May Utrecht 1:2 L
2 May PSV Eindhoven 2:2 D
25 Apr NAC Breda 0:2 W
11 Apr Heracles 0:3 W

Performance Summary

Win Rate

40%

Last 5 matches

Goals For

8

Last 5 matches

Goals Against

4

Last 5 matches

Form Trend

Rising

+0.2 rating pts

Model Uncertainty

±0.7

Lower is more certain

Upcoming Matches

Zwolle vs Ajax

9 Aug · 1459825

Prediction

Ajax to win

Probability

57% ±10%

Insights, Not Guarantees

Our AI model provides probability-based insights to inform your analysis. Predictions are never certain, sports outcomes are inherently unpredictable, and winnings are never guaranteed.If you are using our services to gamble, seek help at BeGambleAware.org.