England

Man City

72.90 ±6.9
Falling

Model-driven team analysis based on ratings, recent form, and match history.

Recent rating change: -0.5

Model Rating & Ranking

Current strength and league standing according to our model

Strength estimates the team’s win probability against a reference opponent. It is not the probability of winning its next match.

Rating

72.90

Uncertainty

±6.9

Rating Change

-0.5

Last updated 11 Oct 2026

How strong is Man City?

See where the team ranks in our model-based strength table.

# Team Rating Error
1 Man City 72.90 ±6.9
2 Arsenal 71.66 ±6.7
3 Liverpool 62.81 ±8.3
4 Chelsea 61.74 ±8.4
5 Man United 61.57 ±8.5
6 West Ham 61.44 ±8.6
7 Brighton 56.88 ±9.0
8 Brentford 52.71 ±9.3
9 Tottenham 49.41 ±9.4
10 Wolves 48.71 ±9.5
11 Southampton 48.42 ±9.7
12 Everton 48.02 ±9.4
13 Leeds 47.98 ±9.4
14 Bournemouth 47.96 ±9.5
15 Luton 47.58 ±9.6
16 Nott'm Forest 47.42 ±9.6
17 Newcastle 47.27 ±9.6
18 Leicester 45.96 ±9.6
19 Aston Villa 45.60 ±9.6
20 Fulham 43.03 ±9.6
21 Sunderland 42.40 ±10.0
22 Norwich 40.41 ±9.5
23 Crystal Palace 38.69 ±9.5
24 Ipswich 36.01 ±9.4
25 Burnley 35.93 ±9.3
26 West Brom 34.91 ±9.1
27 Coventry 33.76 ±9.3
28 Hull 32.08 ±9.1
29 Sheffield United 31.19 ±8.8
30 Watford 20.92 ±7.1

Rating History

Rating trend over the season with uncertainty band

Shaded area represents rating uncertainty (±6.9).

Recent Form Statistics

Average per-match stats from the team's recent matches

Stat Team Opponents
Shots 14.2 11.1
Shots On Target 4.8 3.9
Corners 6.8 4.6
Fouls 10.2 12.6
Yellow Cards 1.2 1.9
Red Cards 0.1 0.1

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.

Recent Form

Date Opponent Score (H–A) Result
14 Oct Paris SG (Home) 2:4 L
11 Oct Liverpool (Away) 0:3 W
20 Sep Sunderland (Home) 5:3 W
13 Sep Man United (Away) 0:1 W
5 Sep Coventry (Home) 1:0 W

Performance Summary

Win Rate

80%

Last 5 matches

Goals For

12

Last 5 matches

Goals Against

7

Last 5 matches

Form Trend

Falling

-0.5 rating pts

Model Uncertainty

±6.9

Lower is more certain

Upcoming Matches

Man City vs AEK

20 Oct

Prediction

Prediction unavailable

Probability

- -

Aston Villa vs Man City

24 Oct

Prediction

Man City to win

Probability

61.3% ±12%

Insights, Not Guarantees

Our AI model provides probability-based insights to inform your analysis. Predictions are never certain, sports outcomes are inherently unpredictable, and winnings are never guaranteed.If you are using our services to gamble, seek help at BeGambleAware.org.