Ethiopia
Model-driven team analysis based on ratings, recent form, and match history.
Recent rating change: -2.3
Model Rating & Ranking
Current strength and league standing according to our model
Strength estimates the team’s win probability against a reference opponent. It is not the probability of winning its next match.
Rating
36.05
Uncertainty
±12.9
Rating Change
-2.3
Last updated 31 Mar 2026
How strong is Ethiopia?
See where the team ranks in our model-based strength table.
| # | Team | Rating | Error |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Morocco | 86.74 | ±4.4 |
| 2 | Nigeria | 81.00 | ±6.3 |
| 3 | Ivory Coast | 78.83 | ±7.0 |
| 4 | Senegal | 78.10 | ±7.3 |
| 5 | Algeria | 75.65 | ±7.8 |
| 6 | Cameroon | 74.66 | ±8.2 |
| 7 | Egypt | 73.25 | ±8.8 |
| 8 | Burkina Faso | 72.75 | ±9.1 |
| 9 | Mali | 71.81 | ±9.0 |
| 10 | DR Congo | 69.64 | ±9.9 |
| 11 | Angola | 66.68 | ±10.1 |
| 12 | Ghana | 63.22 | ±11.2 |
| 13 | South Africa | 61.84 | ±11.0 |
| 14 | Gabon | 61.10 | ±11.2 |
| 15 | Guinea | 59.64 | ±11.7 |
| 16 | Tunisia | 59.23 | ±11.6 |
| 17 | Rwanda | 58.75 | ±12.0 |
| 18 | Cape Verde | 57.55 | ±12.6 |
| 19 | Togo | 57.05 | ±11.6 |
| 20 | Libya | 55.51 | ±11.8 |
| 21 | Madagascar | 54.75 | ±11.9 |
| 22 | Benin | 54.26 | ±12.2 |
| 23 | Namibia | 54.17 | ±11.9 |
| 24 | Tanzania | 52.06 | ±12.8 |
| 25 | Zimbabwe | 51.92 | ±12.1 |
| 26 | Niger | 51.86 | ±12.2 |
| 27 | Gambia | 51.80 | ±12.6 |
| 28 | Uganda | 51.71 | ±12.4 |
| 29 | Mauritania | 51.59 | ±12.9 |
| 30 | Kenya | 49.99 | ±12.6 |
| 31 | Comoros | 49.98 | ±12.6 |
| 32 | Mozambique | 47.65 | ±12.7 |
| 33 | Burundi | 47.53 | ±12.8 |
| 34 | Equatorial Guinea | 46.46 | ±12.5 |
| 35 | Congo | 44.70 | ±12.4 |
| 36 | Zambia | 44.65 | ±13.7 |
| 37 | Sudan | 44.08 | ±13.0 |
| 38 | Guinea-Bissau | 43.01 | ±12.9 |
| 39 | Malawi | 42.17 | ±12.3 |
| 40 | Sierra Leone | 38.61 | ±12.5 |
| 41 | Central Africa | 37.53 | ±12.4 |
| 42 | Liberia | 37.38 | ±12.2 |
| 43 | Botswana | 36.60 | ±12.0 |
| 44 | Ethiopia | 36.05 | ±12.9 |
| 45 | South Sudan | 25.54 | ±10.9 |
| 46 | Chad | 24.59 | ±10.2 |
| 47 | Eswatini | 23.29 | ±10.0 |
| 48 | Lesotho | 20.26 | ±9.6 |
| 49 | Eritrea | 15.93 | ±7.7 |
| 50 | Mauritius | 15.86 | ±7.6 |
| 51 | Somalia | 14.49 | ±7.0 |
| 52 | Sao Tome and Principe | 12.73 | ±6.7 |
| 53 | Djibouti | 9.04 | ±5.1 |
| 54 | Seychelles | 4.61 | ±2.8 |
Rating History
Rating trend over the season with uncertainty band
Shaded area represents rating uncertainty (±12.9).
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score (H–A) | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar | Sao Tome and Principe (Home) | 1:0 | W |
| 27 Mar | Sao Tome and Principe (Away) | 0:3 | W |
| 19 Nov | DR Congo (Away) | 1:2 | W |
| 16 Nov | Tanzania (Home) | 0:2 | L |
| 15 Oct | Guinea (Home) | 0:3 | L |
Performance Summary
Win Rate
60%
Last 5 matches
Goals For
6
Last 5 matches
Goals Against
6
Last 5 matches
Form Trend
Falling
-2.3 rating pts
Model Uncertainty
±12.9
Lower is more certain
Insights, Not Guarantees
Our AI model provides probability-based insights to inform your analysis. Predictions are never certain, sports outcomes are inherently unpredictable, and winnings are never guaranteed.If you are using our services to gamble, seek help at BeGambleAware.org.