Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Man City wins |
70.94%
±10.91%
|
1.23 | -12.7% |
| Draw |
20.39%
±5.61%
|
6.50 | +32.5% |
| Leeds wins |
8.67%
±5.39%
|
11.50 | -0.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Man City
Leeds
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Man City
Leeds
Shots
14.4
12.2
Shots On Target
5.3
3.9
Corners
6.1
4.1
Fouls
9.7
11.1
Yellow Cards
1.8
1.9
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Man City
Leeds
Shots
24.3
6.7
Shots On Target
7.5
2.8
Corners
7.7
3.2
Fouls
8.2
12.5
Yellow Cards
1.7
1.8
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Man City Wins
4Draws
1Leeds Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 6 May 2023 | Man City Win | 2:1 |
| 28 Dec 2022 | Man City Win | 1:3 |
| 30 Apr 2022 | Man City Win | 0:4 |
| 14 Dec 2021 | Man City Win | 7:0 |
| 10 Apr 2021 | Leeds Win | 1:2 |
Man City - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov 2025 | Newcastle | 2:1 | L |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Liverpool | 3:0 | W |
| 2 Nov 2025 | Bournemouth | 3:1 | W |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Aston Villa | 1:0 | L |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Everton | 2:0 | W |
Leeds - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov 2025 | Aston Villa | 1:2 | L |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Nott'm Forest | 3:1 | L |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Brighton | 3:0 | L |
| 24 Oct 2025 | West Ham | 2:1 | W |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Burnley | 2:0 | L |