Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds wins |
13.68%
±8.09%
|
4.75 | -35.0% |
| Draw |
26.84%
±4.41%
|
4.27 | +14.5% |
| Man City wins |
59.48%
±12.29%
|
1.63 | -3.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Leeds
Man City
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Leeds
Man City
Shots
10.9
14.4
Shots On Target
3.8
4.5
Corners
4.5
5.1
Fouls
10.3
10.9
Yellow Cards
1.8
2.3
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Leeds
Man City
Shots
7.0
23.4
Shots On Target
3.0
7.7
Corners
2.9
7.7
Fouls
12.3
9.4
Yellow Cards
1.7
2.0
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Leeds Wins
1Draws
1Man City Wins
5| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov 2025 | Man City Win | 3:2 |
| 6 May 2023 | Man City Win | 2:1 |
| 28 Dec 2022 | Man City Win | 1:3 |
| 30 Apr 2022 | Man City Win | 0:4 |
| 14 Dec 2021 | Man City Win | 7:0 |
Leeds - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2026 | Aston Villa | 1:1 | D |
| 10 Feb 2026 | Chelsea | 2:2 | D |
| 6 Feb 2026 | Nott'm Forest | 3:1 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Arsenal | 0:4 | L |
| 26 Jan 2026 | Everton | 1:1 | D |
Man City - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2026 | Newcastle | 2:1 | W |
| 11 Feb 2026 | Fulham | 3:0 | W |
| 8 Feb 2026 | Liverpool | 1:2 | W |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Tottenham | 2:2 | D |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Wolves | 2:0 | W |