Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zwolle wins |
15.79%
±9.09%
|
4.10 | -35.2% |
| Draw |
24.82%
±3.83%
|
4.05 | +0.5% |
| Ajax wins |
59.38%
±12.69%
|
1.78 | +5.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Zwolle
Ajax
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Zwolle
Ajax
Shots
10.1
16.1
Shots On Target
4.5
6.6
Corners
3.9
4.3
Fouls
12.3
9.1
Yellow Cards
1.4
1.4
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Zwolle
Ajax
Shots
8.9
15.1
Shots On Target
2.9
6.8
Corners
1.7
5.8
Fouls
9.6
10.7
Yellow Cards
1.3
1.3
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Zwolle Wins
0Draws
1Ajax Wins
8| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2025 | Ajax Win | 3:1 |
| 9 Mar 2025 | Ajax Win | 0:1 |
| 24 Nov 2024 | Ajax Win | 2:0 |
| 31 Mar 2024 | Ajax Win | 1:3 |
| 17 Dec 2023 | Draw | 2:2 |
Zwolle - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Feb 2026 | Utrecht | 1:1 | D |
| 15 Feb 2026 | Heerenveen | 4:2 | L |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Volendam | 1:2 | L |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Telstar | 4:1 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Nijmegen | 2:1 | L |
Ajax - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb 2026 | Nijmegen | 1:1 | D |
| 14 Feb 2026 | For Sittard | 4:1 | W |
| 8 Feb 2026 | AZ Alkmaar | 1:1 | D |
| 1 Feb 2026 | Excelsior | 2:2 | D |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Volendam | 2:0 | W |