Aston Villa vs Man City
Final Result
1:0
Aston Villa to win
Our Prediction
Missed
54.8%
Man City to win
±12.6%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aston Villa wins |
15.66%
±8.77%
|
4.17 | -34.8% |
| Draw |
29.59%
±4.13%
|
3.78 | +11.7% |
| Man City wins |
54.75%
±12.63%
|
1.83 | -0.1% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Aston Villa
Man City
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Aston Villa
Man City
Shots
10.8
13.7
Shots On Target
3.3
4.9
Hit On Woodwork
0.0
0.0
Corners
5.6
5.1
Fouls
9.3
7.7
Free Kicks Conceded
0.0
0.0
Offsides
0.0
0.0
Yellow Cards
1.6
1.1
Red Cards
0.2
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Aston Villa
Man City
Shots
8.9
16.5
Shots On Target
3.4
6.2
Hit On Woodwork
0.0
0.0
Corners
2.9
7.9
Fouls
11.1
8.8
Free Kicks Conceded
0.0
0.0
Offsides
0.0
0.0
Yellow Cards
1.7
1.1
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Aston Villa Wins
2Draws
1Man City Wins
7| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 22 Apr 2025 | Man City Win | 2:1 |
| 21 Dec 2024 | Aston Villa Win | 2:1 |
| 3 Apr 2024 | Man City Win | 4:1 |
| 6 Dec 2023 | Aston Villa Win | 1:0 |
| 12 Feb 2023 | Man City Win | 3:1 |
Aston Villa - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2025 | Tottenham | 1:2 | W |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Burnley | 2:1 | W |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Fulham | 3:1 | W |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Sunderland | 1:1 | D |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Everton | 0:0 | D |
Man City - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2025 | Everton | 2:0 | W |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Brentford | 0:1 | W |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Burnley | 5:1 | W |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Arsenal | 1:1 | D |
| 14 Sep 2025 | Man United | 3:0 | W |