Eredivisie 1 Feb 2026 06:15 Match Finished

Excelsior vs Ajax

Final Result

2:2

Match ended in a draw

Rating Change

Excelsior +1.7
Ajax +0.9
Our Prediction Missed
57.4% Ajax to win

±13.1%

Outcome Probabilities

Outcome Probability Odds EV
Excelsior wins
17.04% ±9.65%
4.10 -30.1%
Draw
25.54% ±3.69%
3.95 +0.9%
Ajax wins
57.42% ±13.06%
1.78 +1.9%

Model Rating

AI model rating per team before kickoff

Excelsior
Ajax

Recent Form Statistics

Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.

Stat
Excelsior
Ajax
Shots 11.3 15.9
Shots On Target 3.8 6.6
Corners 3.9 4.9
Fouls 12.3 9.0
Yellow Cards 1.7 1.6
Red Cards 0.1 0.1

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Average per-match stats from recent meetings.

Stat
Excelsior
Ajax
Shots 9.8 17.2
Shots On Target 3.2 9.4
Corners 3.4 8.6
Fouls 9.6 5.4
Yellow Cards 0.8 1.0
Red Cards 0.0 0.2

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.

Head-to-Head History

Excelsior Wins

1

Draws

2

Ajax Wins

2
Date Result Score
22 Nov 2025 Excelsior Win 1:2
24 Apr 2024 Draw 2:2
19 Aug 2023 Draw 2:2
29 Jan 2023 Ajax Win 1:4
16 Oct 2022 Ajax Win 7:1

Excelsior - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
24 Jan 2026 Twente 0:0 D
21 Jan 2026 AZ Alkmaar 1:1 D
17 Jan 2026 Telstar 2:2 D
10 Jan 2026 PSV Eindhoven 5:1 L
20 Dec 2025 Zwolle 2:1 W

Ajax - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
24 Jan 2026 Volendam 2:0 W
17 Jan 2026 Go Ahead Eagles 2:2 D
11 Jan 2026 Telstar 2:3 W
20 Dec 2025 Nijmegen 2:2 D
14 Dec 2025 Feyenoord 2:0 W