AZ Alkmaar vs Ajax
Final Result
1:1
Match ended in a draw
Our Prediction
Missed
36.8%
AZ Alkmaar to win
±14.7%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar wins |
36.75%
±14.68%
|
2.20 | -19.1% |
| Draw |
28.97%
±1.91%
|
3.75 | +8.6% |
| Ajax wins |
34.28%
±13.65%
|
2.98 | +2.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
Shots
13.3
15.9
Shots On Target
4.7
6.7
Corners
5.3
4.5
Fouls
10.4
8.9
Yellow Cards
1.6
1.6
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
Shots
10.0
14.6
Shots On Target
3.8
5.0
Corners
2.8
6.0
Fouls
11.0
10.0
Yellow Cards
1.9
1.5
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
AZ Alkmaar Wins
6Draws
3Ajax Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2025 | AZ Alkmaar Win | 0:2 |
| 16 Mar 2025 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 8 Dec 2024 | AZ Alkmaar Win | 2:1 |
| 25 Feb 2024 | AZ Alkmaar Win | 2:0 |
| 8 Oct 2023 | AZ Alkmaar Win | 1:2 |
AZ Alkmaar - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan 2026 | Nijmegen | 1:3 | L |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Telstar | 0:1 | W |
| 21 Jan 2026 | Excelsior | 1:1 | D |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Zwolle | 3:1 | L |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Volendam | 1:0 | W |
Ajax - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | Excelsior | 2:2 | D |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Volendam | 2:0 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Go Ahead Eagles | 2:2 | D |
| 11 Jan 2026 | Telstar | 2:3 | W |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Nijmegen | 2:2 | D |