Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax wins |
26.81%
±13.01%
|
4.21 | +12.9% |
| Draw |
23.65%
±2.09%
|
3.82 | -9.7% |
| Benfica wins |
49.54%
±15.01%
|
2.02 | +0.1% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Ajax
Benfica
Head-to-Head History
Ajax Wins
1Draws
2Benfica Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar 2022 | Benfica Win | 0:1 |
| 23 Feb 2022 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 7 Nov 2018 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 23 Oct 2018 | Ajax Win | 1:0 |
Ajax - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Nov 2025 | Galatasaray | 0:3 | L |
| 22 Oct 2025 | Chelsea | 5:1 | L |
| 30 Sep 2025 | Marseille | 4:0 | L |
| 17 Sep 2025 | Inter | 0:2 | L |
| 13 Mar 2025 | Ein Frankfurt | 4:1 | L |
Benfica - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Nov 2025 | Leverkusen | 0:1 | L |
| 21 Oct 2025 | Newcastle | 3:0 | L |
| 30 Sep 2025 | Chelsea | 1:0 | L |
| 16 Sep 2025 | Qarabag | 2:3 | L |
| 27 Aug 2025 | Fenerbahce | 1:0 | W |