Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax wins |
68.04%
±11.98%
|
1.37 | -6.8% |
| Draw |
20.33%
±5.14%
|
5.50 | +11.8% |
| Excelsior wins |
11.63%
±6.95%
|
7.13 | -17.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Ajax
Excelsior
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Ajax
Excelsior
Shots
14.0
13.4
Shots On Target
5.6
4.4
Corners
5.0
4.7
Fouls
11.8
13.4
Yellow Cards
2.1
1.6
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Ajax
Excelsior
Shots
17.8
10.2
Shots On Target
10.5
3.0
Corners
8.5
3.8
Fouls
5.8
8.8
Yellow Cards
0.8
0.8
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Ajax Wins
2Draws
2Excelsior Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr 2024 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 19 Aug 2023 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 29 Jan 2023 | Ajax Win | 1:4 |
| 16 Oct 2022 | Ajax Win | 7:1 |
Ajax - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov 2025 | Utrecht | 2:1 | L |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Heerenveen | 1:1 | D |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Twente | 2:3 | W |
| 18 Oct 2025 | AZ Alkmaar | 0:2 | L |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Sparta Rotterdam | 3:3 | D |
Excelsior - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2025 | Heracles | 1:2 | L |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Telstar | 2:2 | D |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Go Ahead Eagles | 2:0 | L |
| 19 Oct 2025 | For Sittard | 1:0 | W |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Heerenveen | 2:1 | L |