Ajax vs Heerenveen
Final Result
1:1
Match ended in a draw
Our Prediction
Missed
58.5%
Ajax to win
±13.8%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax wins |
58.5%
±13.78%
|
1.56 | -8.7% |
| Draw |
24.89%
±4.92%
|
4.63 | +15.1% |
| Heerenveen wins |
16.62%
±9.03%
|
5.00 | -16.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Ajax
Heerenveen
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Ajax
Heerenveen
Shots
15.8
15.0
Shots On Target
6.8
4.7
Corners
5.8
6.1
Fouls
12.3
10.3
Yellow Cards
2.3
1.8
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Ajax
Heerenveen
Shots
15.9
9.4
Shots On Target
6.1
2.9
Corners
7.1
5.3
Fouls
9.0
9.2
Yellow Cards
0.7
1.9
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Ajax Wins
9Draws
0Heerenveen Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan 2025 | Ajax Win | 0:2 |
| 11 Aug 2024 | Ajax Win | 1:0 |
| 11 Feb 2024 | Heerenveen Win | 3:2 |
| 5 Nov 2023 | Ajax Win | 4:1 |
| 12 Mar 2023 | Ajax Win | 2:4 |
Ajax - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct 2025 | Twente | 2:3 | W |
| 18 Oct 2025 | AZ Alkmaar | 0:2 | L |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Sparta Rotterdam | 3:3 | D |
| 27 Sep 2025 | NAC Breda | 2:1 | W |
| 21 Sep 2025 | PSV Eindhoven | 2:2 | D |
Heerenveen - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2025 | NAC Breda | 3:3 | D |
| 19 Oct 2025 | Telstar | 2:3 | W |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Excelsior | 2:1 | W |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Utrecht | 2:2 | D |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Nijmegen | 3:2 | W |