Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Man City wins |
35.48%
±14.44%
|
1.82 | -35.6% |
| Draw |
31.68%
±2.08%
|
3.70 | +17.2% |
| Arsenal wins Top Bet |
32.84%
±13.26%
|
4.27 | +40.1% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Man City
Arsenal
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Man City
Arsenal
Shots
15.5
14.1
Shots On Target
5.3
4.7
Corners
6.3
6.4
Fouls
10.9
10.5
Yellow Cards
2.2
1.1
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Man City
Arsenal
Shots
13.9
8.0
Shots On Target
5.0
2.3
Corners
4.9
3.7
Fouls
8.7
11.0
Yellow Cards
1.9
2.1
Red Cards
0.0
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Man City Wins
5Draws
3Arsenal Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 2 Feb 2025 | Arsenal Win | 5:1 |
| 22 Sep 2024 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 31 Mar 2024 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 8 Oct 2023 | Arsenal Win | 1:0 |
Man City - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr 2026 | Chelsea | 0:3 | W |
| 14 Mar 2026 | West Ham | 1:1 | D |
| 4 Mar 2026 | Nott'm Forest | 2:2 | D |
| 28 Feb 2026 | Leeds | 0:1 | W |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Newcastle | 2:1 | W |
Arsenal - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr 2026 | Bournemouth | 1:2 | L |
| 14 Mar 2026 | Everton | 2:0 | W |
| 4 Mar 2026 | Brighton | 0:1 | W |
| 1 Mar 2026 | Chelsea | 2:1 | W |
| 22 Feb 2026 | Tottenham | 1:4 | W |