Excelsior vs Ajax
Final Result
2:2
Match ended in a draw
Our Prediction
Missed
58%
Ajax to win
±12%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ajax wins |
58%
±11%
|
1.78 | +2.3% |
| Excelsior wins |
19%
±9%
|
4.10 | -23.4% |
| Draw |
24%
±3%
|
3.95 | -6.4% |
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Excelsior
Ajax
Shots
9.8
17.2
Shots On Target
3.2
9.4
Corners
3.4
8.6
Fouls
9.6
5.4
Yellow Cards
0.8
1.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Excelsior Wins
1Draws
2Ajax Wins
2| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov 2025 | Excelsior Win | 1:2 | Eredivisie |
| 24 Apr 2024 | Draw | 2:2 | Eredivisie |
| 19 Aug 2023 | Draw | 2:2 | Eredivisie |
| 29 Jan 2023 | Ajax Win | 1:4 | Eredivisie |
| 16 Oct 2022 | Ajax Win | 7:1 | Eredivisie |
Excelsior - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | Twente | 0:0 | D |
| 21 Jan 2026 | AZ Alkmaar | 1:1 | D |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Telstar | 2:2 | D |
| 10 Jan 2026 | PSV Eindhoven | 5:1 | L |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Zwolle | 2:1 | W |
Ajax - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | Volendam | 2:0 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Go Ahead Eagles | 2:2 | D |
| 11 Jan 2026 | Telstar | 2:3 | W |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Nijmegen | 2:2 | D |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Feyenoord | 2:0 | W |