Eredivisie 1 Feb 2026 06:15 Match Finished

Excelsior vs Ajax

Final Result

2:2

Match ended in a draw

Rating Change

Excelsior -0.3
Ajax -0.3
Our Prediction Missed
58% Ajax to win

±12%

Outcome Probabilities

Outcome Probability Odds EV
Ajax wins
58% ±11%
1.78 +2.3%
Excelsior wins
19% ±9%
4.10 -23.4%
Draw
24% ±3%
3.95 -6.4%

Model Rating

AI model rating per team before kickoff

Excelsior
Ajax

Season Statistics

Average per-game stats from prior matches this season.

Stat
Excelsior
Ajax
Shots 12.4 14.7
Shots On Target 4.2 5.9
Corners 4.1 4.8
Fouls 12.3 10.0
Yellow Cards 1.2 1.7
Red Cards 0.1 0.1

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Average per-match stats from recent meetings.

Stat
Excelsior
Ajax
Shots 9.8 17.2
Shots On Target 3.2 9.4
Corners 3.4 8.6
Fouls 9.6 5.4
Yellow Cards 0.8 1.0
Red Cards 0.0 0.2

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.

Head-to-Head History

Excelsior Wins

1

Draws

2

Ajax Wins

2
Date Result Score Competition
22 Nov 2025 Excelsior Win 1:2 Eredivisie
24 Apr 2024 Draw 2:2 Eredivisie
19 Aug 2023 Draw 2:2 Eredivisie
29 Jan 2023 Ajax Win 1:4 Eredivisie
16 Oct 2022 Ajax Win 7:1 Eredivisie

Excelsior - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
24 Jan 2026 Twente 0:0 D
21 Jan 2026 AZ Alkmaar 1:1 D
17 Jan 2026 Telstar 2:2 D
10 Jan 2026 PSV Eindhoven 5:1 L
20 Dec 2025 Zwolle 2:1 W

Ajax - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
24 Jan 2026 Volendam 2:0 W
17 Jan 2026 Go Ahead Eagles 2:2 D
11 Jan 2026 Telstar 2:3 W
20 Dec 2025 Nijmegen 2:2 D
14 Dec 2025 Feyenoord 2:0 W