Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spain wins |
45%
±28%
|
1.54 | -30.2% |
| Uruguay wins |
30%
±26%
|
5.93 | +79.0% |
| Draw |
24%
±2%
|
4.13 | +0.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Uruguay
Spain
Head-to-Head History
Uruguay Wins
0Draws
0Spain Wins
2| Date | Result | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Feb 2013 | Spain Win | 3:1 | World Cup |
| 17 Aug 2005 | Spain Win | 2:0 | World Cup |
Uruguay - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun 2026 | Cape Verde | - | - |
| 15 Jun 2026 | Saudi Arabia | 1:1 | D |
| 31 Mar 2026 | Algeria | 0:0 | D |
| 27 Mar 2026 | England | 1:1 | D |
| 19 Nov 2025 | USA | 5:1 | L |
Spain - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jun 2026 | Saudi Arabia | - | - |
| 15 Jun 2026 | Cape Verde | 0:0 | D |
| 31 Mar 2026 | Egypt | 0:0 | D |
| 27 Mar 2026 | Serbia | 3:0 | W |
| 14 Jul 2024 | England | 2:1 | W |